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You may cancel your subscription at anytime by calling Customer Service. Skip to Main Content Skip to Search. The US's view of these events during the Cold War was grim. But over time, something shocking transpired. What president is going to go to China and meet with Mao Zedong? His point is that North Korea's motivations, notwithstanding its accusations of horrifying human-rights abuses , may not be so nefarious as rhetoric and propaganda suggest when it comes to nukes.
In fact, it could be that North Korean nuclear scientists see themselves more as doves than hawks. They could be easier to get along with; they could be worse. Instead of always assuming the worst, we should practice being "more neutral" about how having nuclear weapons might change North Korea, Lewis said.
He added: "You don't want to prejudge something like that and foreclose what could be a chance at peace. But this likely isn't the US's current thinking. President Donald Trump has expressed hopes to expand nuclear-weapons capabilities , and American military forces appear to be quietly training to face a conflict on the Korean Peninsula.
For you. World globe An icon of the world globe, indicating different international options. Get the Insider App. The administration also plans to seek to reinvigorate the so-called trilateral relationship between the U.
Whether there are direct talks with the North Koreans depends on the North's behavior, that person said. While denuclearization would remain a long-term goal, the U. If unchecked, those delivery systems, including solid-fuel missiles, ICBM warheads and multiple re-entry vehicles, could allow North Korea to launch attacks faster and potentially evade U. The two, who are both now senior fellows at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, wrote that the fallout from the Covid pandemic has exacerbated the regime's economic woes, and could mean North Korean leader Kim Jong Un would be open to cutting a deal.
He noted that North Korea has shut down its borders completely in an effort to tamp down the spread of Covid, including imports of food and medicine from China. In so doing, it has imposed a blockade on itself more draconian than sanctions, which don't usually cover humanitarian aid.
Even with a less ambitious objective, arms control negotiations with North Korea would be "really, really hard," Brewer said, particularly because Pyongyang has tended to fiercely resist any inspection or verification mechanisms. And any restrictions on the North's weapons systems would have to be verified on the ground, he said, not just via U.
Intelligence officials say North Korea has no intention of giving up its nuclear weapons, leaving the Biden administration faced with a series of unpalatable options. The problem with these perspectives is that it fails to recognize the actual threat posed to China by North Korean nuclear weapons.
A single North Korean nuclear weapon with the yield explosive power of the North's sixth nuclear weapon test could kill or seriously injure several million people in Beijing. While this number would be a small fraction of the Chinese population, it would be a large fraction of its core leadership, risking government continuity. And according to Dr. Siegfried Hecker, a former director of Los Alamos who has visited the North Korean Yongbyon nuclear facility several times, North Korea may have 45 or so nuclear weapons.
China might want to consider whether they have reason to be concerned about the mid- to longer-term geopolitical implications of an unrestrained North Korean nuclear weapons program. Its current lack of concern is somewhat at odds with Beijing's typical long-term strategic thinking.
It may be possible that China's cold war with the United States is blindsiding Beijing's leadership with respect to the developing North Korean threat.
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